文章摘要
正规金融支农能保障粮食安全吗?——基于县域金融机构涉农贷款增量奖励试点的准实验评估
Does Formal Financial Credit Help to Keep Food Security: Quasi-experimental Evidence from the Reward Policy on Incremental Agricultural Loans in China
投稿时间:2022-12-04  修订日期:2023-05-04
DOI:
中文关键词: 粮食安全  信贷约束  涉农贷款  农业现代化
英文关键词: food security  credit constraints  agricultural loans  agriculture modernization.
基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目“非农转移、代际转换与农地撂荒发生机理研究”( 72203064) ; 广东省社科规划青年项目“农地撂荒的发生机理及其政策启示: 基于农户承包地规模的考察 ” (GD22YGL20)。
作者单位邮编
洪炜杰* 华南农业大学经济管理学院 510642
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中文摘要:
      本文利用2007-2016年各个县域的粮食生产数据,以2009年开始试点的涉农贷款增量奖励政策作为自然实验研究金融支农对粮食安全的影响。研究发现:(1)涉农贷款增量奖励政策能够显著提高粮食的产量,且对粮食主产区和非粮食主产区同样具有显著的正向作用,但对非粮食主产区的影响效应要强于粮食主产区;此外,随着各地的工业化水平提高,该政策影响效果将逐渐减弱。(2)机制检验表明,该政策的实施能够提高正规金融机构涉农贷款余额,因而有助于缓解粮食生产的信贷约束问题。(3)进一步研究表明,支农金融政策的实施能够鼓励各地农业企业的成立,提高农业机械和农业劳动力的投入水平,但对于各地有效灌溉面积不存在显著的影响。本文认为缓解农业的信贷约束问题,是保障粮食安全的重要条件之一。
英文摘要:
      This paper employs the grain production data of various counties from 2007 to 2016 and utilize the incremental incentive policy for agriculture-related loans that began to be piloted in 2009 as a natural experiment to study the impact of formal financial credit on food security. It shows that, first the incremental incentive policy for agriculture-related loans can significantly increase grain production. Specifically, the implementation of the policy can increase the level of grain output by about 8.04%. The policy also has a significant positive effect on both the main grain-producing and non-grain producing areas, and the impact on the non-grain main-producing areas is stronger than that in the main grain-producing areas; in addition, with the promotion of industrialization, the effect of the policy will gradually weaken. Second, the mechanism test show that the policy will increase the balance of agricultural loans, indicates that this policy has to some extent alleviated credit constraints on agricultural production. Third, we also found that the implementation of the financial policies to support agriculture can encourage the establishment of agricultural enterprises and increase the input level of agricultural machinery and agricultural labor, but there is no significant impact on the irrigation area. This paper believes that alleviating the credit constraints of agriculture is one of the important means to ensure the food security.
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