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| 粮食生产型家庭农场：临界经营规模与发展愿景分析 |
| An analysis on the prospects and threshold of operation scale of family farm in China |
| 投稿时间：2016-03-03 修订日期：2016-06-12 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 家庭农场 临界经营规模 粮食 愿景 |
| 英文关键词: threshold scale family farm grain prospects |
| 基金项目:农业部软科学课题“粮食生产型家庭农场的临界经营规模及扶持政策研究”，编号20140701 |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1938 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 本文从农户收入角度研究以粮食生产为主的家庭农场的临界经营规模。通过建立数学模型,设定农户家庭收入系数、复种指数等参数,并利用统计数据进行测算。结果显示,现状临界经营规模为一年一熟制地区179亩、一年两熟制地区90亩；在种粮现金收益低增长且国家维持目前补贴水平的情形下, 2020年的临界经营规模为一年一熟制地区为141亩,一年两熟制地区为71亩(平均为106亩),在此临界经营规模下理论上最多可有940万农户达到临界经营规模；并认为2020年培育出200万户粮食生产型家庭农场也是一项富有挑战的阶段性愿景目标。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| this paper focuses on the threshold scale of operation of family farm from the perspective of farmer’s income. A mathematical model was established with statistics data under given parameters of farmer family income constitute and multiple cropping indexes. The calculation results show that the thresholds of scale operation are 179 MU at one ripe system area and 90 MU at two ripe system area in the base year 2013.In the case of low growth rate of grain benefits and low level subsidies, the threshold scale of operation is 141 MU at one ripe system area or 71 MU at two ripe system area in the objective year 2020,and the family farms most quantity up to 9.4 million. This paper also pointed that family farms quantity reaching to 2 million is a challenge by 2020. |
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