| Chinese agricultural products has become more diversified, whereas consumer’s behavior on food also has great changes after 1997, when the Asian financial crisis happened, and these changes were strengthened after 2002, the year China entering into the WTO. What are the reasons behind such changes? Drawing method from De Boer (2008), this paper combines Montgomery decomposition with Input-Output technique, and decomposes determinants of Chinese residential consumption on agricultural products into scale effect, technological effect, structure effect and aggregate effect. The paper finds that: Firstly, in general, technological effect had a remarkable role in upgrading of consumption structure of agricultural products; Secondly, primary agricultural products are more susceptible than processed agricultural products; Thirdly, globalization caused consumption scale effect to have larger impact on consumption of agricultural products in the mid-term, whereas aggregate effect of final consumption demand had a stronger role in the long term; Fourthly, among processed agricultural products, consumption on products of aquatic products processing industry were more susceptible in the mid-term, while the alcoholic drinks and wine manufacturing sectors and other beverage manufacturing sectors were more susceptible in the long term. |
